Mama there goes that meme: Is Rose hurting the Bulls’ offense?

Beckley: After a week of playoff basketball, one of the leading stories is how much the top-seeded Bulls have struggled to beat the Indiana Pacers, a team that scuttled into the playoffs 8 games under .500. The other is that in escaping upset, the Bulls have leaned on Derrick Rose, intrepid buster of ankles, to a potentially unhealthy degree. Should that cause worry? After all, Rose lead the league in percentage of team points created during the regular season, and was second in Usage. One might argue that three tight wins in which their defense and Derrick Rose dominated the most important moments is essentially what the Bulls do. Then again, Chicago  spanked the Indiana by 19, 13, and 21 during the regular season. Is this over-parsing a 3-0 series lead, or is there cause for alarm?

Ethan: THE REAL STORY IS HOW DROZE IS WILLING HIS TEAM TO VICTORY! Beckley, stop playing with stats, watch the game!

In all, or at least some, seriousness: Rose has applied an individually productive strategy to these 2011 playoffs. A long time ago, we wondered if he wasn’t getting fouled enough. Now he’s averaging 16.3 free throw attempts. Derrick’s passing less, driving more, all to a high 27.6 PER. But, he does this as teammates grow colder than being naked on the moon. Perhaps he’s suffocating the offense and perhaps he’s providing CPR until it gasps unassisted. So I ask, Beckley: Is Derrick Rose holding Chicago’s scoring back or compensating for that which holds them back?

Beckley:
I wouldn’t say Derrick Rose is holding anything back, in any sense of the phrase. He is hurling himself into the paint and being greeted by a chorus of whistles, which will keep his play relatively efficient even when he seems, at times, to be wearing horse blinders. And for all his single-mindedness– attack and finish or kick, very few passes to just move the ball– it’s also an effect of the Bulls’ general offensive gameplan rather than a dearth of talent around him. Aside from Rose’s individual artistry, Chicago’s offense looks predictable and uninspired. If there’s one place to put some blame on Rose, it’s that he’s a weak screener. Perhaps it’s because he’s saving his energy in case he needs to absorb a Jeff Foster elbow to the mouth while moving at full speed, but Rose’s screens–and most of the off-ball action in Chicago’s offense, are toothless.

I wonder if a team can sustain a winning offense when it is so completely built around the ability of one player. Not because predictability is a liability, but because the Bulls, or any team, for that matter, must have all five players feeling invested and responsible for the team’s success. I suppose you’d cite the 2006 Heat as a counterexample?

Ethan:
Sure, 2006 it is. And it’s a counter that stymies, frustratingly so. I’d like to rip how Chicago’s halting ball movement in favor of Derrick’s foul shot trawling. It’s not pleasant to watch and it goes against my basketball morals. But, the formula was effective back then, and this Bulls team is better than that 06’ Heat squad.

Chicago’s playoff offensive efficiency is almost exactly what it was during the regular season, so the strategy hasn’t exactly hurt. I still find Rose’s ball dominance a bit troubling because its degree is shocking. Derrick Rose posted a gargantuan 44.9% usage rate in Game 2, meaning: The basketball now smells like Derrick Rose and will till after the lockout.

"Humility...Desire...More Humility. Humble Unicorn: the new fragrance from Derrick Rose"

Beckley: Gross. And creepy.

Ethan: I know! It’s like, stop going after that ball like a stalker ex-girlfriend.

Beckley: I meant your “smells like Derrick Rose” comment.

Ethan:
Oh. Fair. Anyway, what are your feelings on Rose-centrism going forward?

Beckley: I love that Rose is willing to take full responsibility for his team’s offense, but I have a philosophical aversion to this style of play. Tonight the Pacers basically announced that they feared no Boozer, no Deng, no Noah, by trapping Rose as soon as he crossed half court. Rose had more charges than made layups, and only attempted a handful of field goals around the rim, after taking 11 such shots in Game 2. Without his mighty dribble drives, Rose was like He-Man without the power.

I have the (particularly in late-game situations) POWEEEERR!!

Then, Rose turned the corner, figuratively and literally, and gashed the Pacer’s pick and roll defense for his only made layup of the night. Good timing, it put the Bulls ahead for good with just seventeen seconds remaining.

Rose’s style of play has a similar effect on media as it does on opposing defense: they forget about the other guys. Kyle Korver has made a number of clutch shots not just in this series but all year, and it was Luol Deng who pushed Chicago’s offense forward in the first half of Game 3. The thing is, it may not be possible to cover Derrick Rose–for writers or opposing teams–without losing perspective on the rest of the squad. We can attribute this to Rose’s soloist style, but must also credit his success in that mode.

But Can Rose sustain this level of energy and will for six straight weeks, against increasingly intricate and disciplined defenses? Thibodeau seems determined to put the Bulls’ offense in Rose’s hands alone, while opponents toss him chainsaws to juggle. I’m not sold that this philosophy will work over the course of 48 minutes and seven games against top opponents, but there’s nothing wrong with handing him the rock and telling him “go” with game in the balance–no one can stay in front of him, and he finds open shooters if the help comes.

Ethan:
So I think we’re in grudging acceptance of selfish-ball?

This, I believe: The Rose-centrism of Chicago’s offense is good for Derrick Rose. I mean that in terms of branding, gaining fans, wooing media. Divorced from production, people follow the guy who controls that mystical orb. To have the ball is to have “possession.” We respect someone who has “possession,” and subconsciously assume he has it for a reason. Rose will get more respect from a wider audience than ever before.

This respect is growing as current fans defend Derrick’s honor against the evil statistics that would glove slap his cherubic face. Derrick’s late-game buckets are hardening into cudgels, thwacked against “stat-heads” who questioned his MVP cred. Is that fair? Is it stupid to look for postseason validation of a regular season award? Is it right to believe such validation comes from the end of games?

Well, perhaps that’s on-docket for the next Meme.

Beckley: Until then.

Twitter: Beckley and Ethan

Thanks to John Converse Townsend for the Foster-Rose image!

Related posts:

  1. Inside the play: Bulls UCLA read
  2. Working/Not Working: Heat-Sixers (2), Bulls-Pacers (2)
  3. Mama There Goes That Meme!” Ep. 10: Thorns in Rose’s Crown
  4. Derrick Rose for MVP: Is it too late for a debate?
  5. Derrick Rose: Perfect Storm of Overrated?
Post comment as twitter logo facebook logo
Sort: Newest | Oldest

@martink0261 Thats the problem with just looking at a box score then plugging the numbers into a formula. You miss how the numbers actually came. Deng had a hot first half but finished 8-19, Boozer finished 2-10. So your second and third best scorers combined go 10-29 yet Rose isn't supposed to take over the offensive load? I'm not against advanced stats but I take umbrage with them when they go against basketball common sense. Did Rose have a bad shooting game yes but he did but he did what any other scorer would do get to the line when the shot isn't falling. Its the stat guys who worship such a flawed statistic like PER. Many basketball websites use PER but none see it as the best measure to compare players only ESPN. Baseball metrics work because the nature and pace of the game means viewers particularly those at home miss a lot things. With basketball everything is there for you to see developing right in front of you so when you look at the boxscore and plug the numbers into a formula it gives a much more rounded perspective of how those numbers came to be.

@Antwain, nobody that cares about stats has a problem with drawing fouls it is a very efficient way of scoring. I think you may not understand a basketball stat sheet very well so I will enlighten you. If you draw a foul, the shot attempt is not counted unless you score an and one, it therefore does not hurt your overall shooting percentage to constantly draw fouls. D Rose shot, 4-of-18 also known as 22% shooting percentage, half of what would be be considered below average shooting. Those are sub-Iverson numbers. Stat guys don't have some nebulous vendetta against D Rose and his will to win, we would just like an efficient game- i.e. high shooting percentage (preferably close or over 50%) and many free throw attempts. Wow stat guys have such exorbitant demands, nobody can possibly attain them! (dripping with sarcasm)- Oh wait, Dwight Howard, Lebron James and Dwyane Wade attain that standard almost night in and night out- no wonder their PER is so mysteriously high! Its voodoo I tells ya!

So the big three's and ten points in the fourth quarter of game three by Korver mean nothing. The twenty-one Deng scored are now inconsequential? Since when did Deng's 17 & 7 in the series become overlooked. The that kills me about these true hoop guys is they never seem to form an opinion based on stats and acutally watching what happened in a game. Its either the stats an advanced metrics are the end all be all or they watch a game and ignore the numbers. You can't name one top scorer in the last 30 years who didn't go "foul trawling". James, Wade, Nowitzki, Bryant, Durant, Anthony all do it. These are same people who criticized Rose earlier in the year saying he would be more efficient if he shot more free throws now he is doing exactly that and now they say he is essentially looking to do it too much. I thought if your shot wasn't falling you should look to drive to the basket and draw fouls to get to the line but maybe these guys have up with a "statistic" to show that theory wrong. I don't know who mistakingly taught these guys the game but they need to go buy basketball for dummies from a book store. I'm book marking this article and will reference it anytime a person from truehoop says player x should look to shoot more free throws.

As an out of the closet stathead, I am awed by the efficiency of Rose's crunchtime go-to move of turning on the jets and racing his defender to the rim. But I am sorry but I cannot abide by 4-of-18 shooting even if the fourth shot was what put the game away for the Bulls. Perhaps a 4-of-8 or 4-of-10 might have been more palatable.

Trackbacks

  1. [...] Rose. As thrilling and dynamic as he was for just about every second he was on the floor last year, Rose bore an undue burden down the stretch. Part of this was the fault of the Bulls strategy, which resembled a football team’s ball [...]

Get Adobe Flash playerPlugin by wpburn.com wordpress themes