Miami and Oklahoma City live in the future

If you care about a basketball game, it is an immersive process. It is the hyper present at the expense of other considerations. It is a vacuum, an unsustainable suspension of “now” as the viewer waits on the hemming and hawing of a capricious ball. Once the stupid ball finally decides a winner, external context comes rushing in like a puddle reclaiming the territory rented by a footstep.

When I watch the Heat and Thunder, the games are gripping, but my usually present thoughts are drowned in the context of the future. For both these teams, what is happening so obviously has implications on what will happen.

Defeat brings Miami’s future to the fore. High expectations have led to some disappointment, which imperils certain actors. It is assumed that Spoelstra is coaching for his job, and that Bosh may get traded if Year 2 of The Big 3 ends in failure. When I witness Miami slipping in a big game, I see the experiment crumbling under the weight of its former ambition, and the weight of how that particular brand of ambition has been received by the public. Every missed shot hints at something bigger than simply losing.

Success is the ecstasy that haunts Oklahoma City. Victories validate the Thunder U project while threatening its sustainability. Every game that James Harden helps them win is a loud reminder that someone else will offer him enough money to diamond emboss that beard. Every jet-stream-altering Serge Ibaka block is a  reminder that only one power forward can do this while also reliably hitting an 18 footer. Can they pay both? Are we witnessing an incredible team that will become better, but simply cannot be?

The actors themselves are probably taking it one game at a time, as the cliche goes. I’m certainly not compartmentalizing like that when I watch. Because, it so often feels like one game threatens past and future plans all at once.

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As Promised 2580 pts

http://www.hoopsworld.com/oklahoma-city-thunder-team-salary

 

Harden right now, is worth 13.3 million in my mind.  He will prove if he's worth more next year when he is eligible for a contract extension, but he is worth at least 13.3 right now.  Ibaka is worth 10.5 million.  That would push OKC to 68 milliion with the rest of the roster in the pay roll in 2014.  That includes an aging Collison, Thabo might not be there but for less than 3.4 million he is currently receiving, or about the same.  Nazr Mouhammed's 3.75 million will be off after this year, Royal Iveys 1.2 will be out.  Cook might be resigned to the same 2.9 million.  Maynor might be able to get 7 million which might be the pushing point to the cap of 70 million.  But the Thunder organization would still be able to pay both Ibaka and Harden.  The money made in the playoff's and championships and restructuring for championship caliber players on the team (KD, RW and maybe Perk) can allow for this to happen.  Don't say it can't be done, the Heat are a great example for restructuring for a chance at a championship (Bosh, Wade and James). 

 

A lot of the people think that players fallow the money, but they're really trying to follow the championship's.  Harden and Ibaka will most likely stay with the Thunder if they win a championship this year.  Or they might say "Hey! I already won a championship, I don't really need anymore, now I can fallow the big bucks to [insert team here]."

EthanSherwoodStrauss 10 pts

 thelaughingwiseman OKC would be incredibly lucky to get Ibaka at 10 million. Just look at what, say, David Lee makes. 

theakinet 5 pts

the irony of small market owners winning the lock-out is that now OKC (the hot small-market team) can't keep their team together in ~2 years unless they pay the luxury tax..........which was raised so high no team wants to pay it. btw, if the tax was *cut* small-market owners would've made more money via revenue sharing!

As Promised 2580 pts

Easy situation that can be solved using money.  The Stadium tends to make much more money on ticket sales for playoff games.  In this case all playoff games would most likely be sold-out like they have these past two post-season.  They can give max contracts to Harden and Ibaka and the Thunder would be around 69 millioin dollars.  Some players might not be around long enough to affect the Thunder financially, others can restructure and play at a lower wage (most notably Thabo, Collison, Nazr and other rookie contracts).  With that being said every post season they make it to the WCF or Finals they should get around at least 500,000 to (at most) 2,000,000 dollars in revenue based on ticket prices.  And that would go a long way in helping pay the luxury tax if in fact the Thunder do go into it.

Remember, the Owner doesn't have a set amount of money, he/she has to make their money some how.  Generating ticket profits is one of them.  That money made from the playoffs will pay off.  That being said, the Thunder can and must likely will keep those two there.  That is of course if they want to stay there.  It might all depend if they win the championship in OKC. Would you want to leave a situation in which you have won a championship and have the opportunity to win a lot more, the way the system is built their?

Trackbacks

  1. [...] Ethan Sherwood Strauss of HoopSpeak: “Success is the ecstasy that haunts Oklahoma City. Victories validate the Thunder U project while threatening its sustainability. Every game that James Harden helps them win is a loud reminder that someone else will offer him enough money to diamond emboss that beard. Every jet-stream-altering Serge Ibaka block is a reminder that only one power forward can do this while also reliably hitting an 18 footer. Can they pay both? Are we witnessing an incredible team that will become better, but simply cannot be? The actors themselves are probably taking it one game at a time, as the cliche goes. I’m certainly not compartmentalizing like that when I watch. Because, it so often feels like one game threatens past and future plans all at once.” [...]

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